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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6870.39
6870.39
6870.39
6895.79
6858.28
+13.27
+ 0.19%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47954.98
47954.98
47954.98
48133.54
47871.51
+104.05
+ 0.22%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23578.12
23578.12
23578.12
23680.03
23506.00
+72.99
+ 0.31%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.800
98.880
98.800
98.960
98.730
-0.150
-0.15%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16628
1.16636
1.16628
1.16717
1.16341
+0.00202
+ 0.17%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33335
1.33345
1.33335
1.33462
1.33151
+0.00023
+ 0.02%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4215.55
4215.96
4215.55
4218.85
4190.61
+17.64
+ 0.42%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
59.988
60.025
59.988
60.063
59.752
+0.179
+ 0.30%
--

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Finnish Oct Trade Balance 0.16 Billion Euros

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Stats Office - German Oct Industry Output +1.8 Percent Month-On-Month (Forecast +0.4 Percent)

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Japan Finance Minister Katayama: Recently Seeing One-Sided, Rapid Moves

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           Gold Price Develops Towards 1600 with Heated Rate Hike Expectations

          Winkelmann

          Russia-Ukraine Conflict

          Commodity

          Summary:

          The expectations of a significant Fed rate hike continue to rise, and U.S. Treasury Securities yields continue to soar, posing an obvious suppression on the gold price. There is still the possibility of further decline in the short term.

          SELL XAUUSD
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          1638.00

          Entry Price

          1605.00

          TP

          1662.00

          SL

          4215.55 +17.64 +0.42%

          240.0

          Pips

          Loss

          1605.00

          TP

          1662.10

          Exit Price

          1638.00

          Entry Price

          1662.00

          SL

          Fundamentals

          Recently, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine continued to escalate. Putin announced that the four regions including Kherson that joined Russia through a referendum had entered a "state of war", and the battle of Kherson was imminent. In addition, interest rate hikes by central banks have deepened fears of a global recession, with the Federal Reserve's Beige Book saying that companies are more pessimistic about the economic outlook, providing some opportunities for gold prices to rebound.
          However, the USD and gold price correlation is relatively strong. The overall situation remains that the USD is stronger than the gold price. As long as inflation does not cool down quickly, the Fed may raise interest rates further and push up the USD and U.S. Treasury Securities, posing an obvious suppression on the gold price. Meanwhile, the latest CPI data released by the UK, the eurozone, Canada, and other countries remains high, reinforcing the expectation that central banks in these countries and regions will raise interest rates significantly in the future. It is difficult for gold prices to continue to perform well in such an environment.

          Technical Analysis

          XAUUSD: Gold Price Develops Towards 1600 with Heated Rate Hike Expectations_1
          In the 1D timeframe, The XAUUSD continued its recent downward trend and has successively lost 1660 and 1640. The bearish signal has been further strengthened. The short-term bias is to test the support near 1620, and will even further fall to near 1600.
          XAUUSD: Gold Price Develops Towards 1600 with Heated Rate Hike Expectations_2
          In the 4H timeframe, the short-term gold price was once close to 1620. The indicator RSI entered the oversold zone and the price quickly rebounded to above 1630. However, the overall downward trend remained intact. The short-term rebound space was limited. Patience is needed to wait for the opportunity to go short after the complete adjustment, and attention should be paid to the resistance near 1640 above. If the rebound is confirmed but doesn't break the resistance, the gold price will continue its downward trend under pressure.
          It is recommended to go short at the highs, namely to go short with small positions when the price rebounds to near 1640, with the target set near the lower integer level of 1600 and the stop loss above 1660.

          Trading Recommendations

          Trading direction: Short
          Entry price: 1638.0
          Target price: 1605.0
          Stop loss: 1662.0
          Support: 1620/1600
          Resistance: 1660/1640
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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